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周四(2月16日)美联储1月会议纪要公布后市场对美联储进一步扩大资产购买的预期有所减弱以及希腊忧虑持续为美元提供支持。美股遇阻力以及美联储QE3预期减弱刺激投资者买入美元。美联储是否将推出进一步措施刺激经济仍将取决于未来几个月美国经济的表现,投资者将继续关注美国经济数据以寻求线索。
欧元区可能无力再救助希腊。眼看其他许多成员国的经济每况愈下,欧元区现在恐怕只能舍弃希腊以求自保。从当前的形势来看,对希腊实施第二轮救助只会对欧元区其他地区造成太大伤害,更别提第三轮、第四轮救助了。直到现在,欧元区领导人一直对希腊新的1,300亿欧元救助计划谈判的一再拖延不以为意。他们可能是希望希腊最终自愿退出欧元区,或者是争取更多时间、更多机会来建造防火墙,防止危机蔓延到其他规模较大的外围国家。
今晚将公布美国新屋开工、上周初请失业金人数以及费城联储制造业指数等数据,受到关注。
欧元兑美元
开盘价1.3055,昨收价1.3055,最低价1.2995,最高价1.3055,现报1.3015。欧元走高后德国情绪调查预期为5.4。希腊悲剧使欧美收益达1.5770美元,穆迪降级又使欧美移动到1.5645美元低点。
The euro made a brief move higher following another better-than-expected German sentiment survey posting a positive figure of 5.4. The pair reached US$1.5770 before the recurrent Greek tragedy stemmed gains as a Moody’s downgrade sealed a move lower to a US$1.5645 low.
美元兑瑞郎
开盘价0.9243,昨收价0.9243,最低价0.9242,最高价0.9282,现报0.9269。隔夜行动美瑞为0.9143瑞郎。穆迪下调欧洲国家评级导致投资者回到安全的0.9229瑞郎。
Pair dipped to CHF0.9143 after muted overnight action. Fresh downgrades in Europe from Moody’s led investors back to the safety of the dollar sending the pair to CHF0.9229.
美元兑日元
开盘价78.48,昨收价78.50,最低价78.34,最高价78.52,现报78.47。日本央行买入贷款导致日元下降到十月以来的最低。该增加10万亿的方案引起了日本经济的打击晚些时候达78.54。
Action from the BoJ in the form of asset-buying and lending increases resulted in the Yen falling to its weakest since October’s intervention. The¥10 trillion increase to the programmes sparked concerns about the condition of Japans economy as the pair hit¥78.54 late in the day.
英镑兑美元
开盘价1.5683,昨收价1.5683,最低价1.5659,最高价1.5689,现报1.5679。穆迪严重警告英国AAA级的地位,英美达2周低点。英国央行的通货膨胀报告使谨慎情绪持续领先,英美跌至1.5645美元。
Cable posted a 2-week low against the dollar as a stark warning from Moody’s threatened the UKs triple-A rated status. The cautious mood continued ahead of the BoE inflation report and the pair tumbled to US$1.5645.
澳元兑美元
开盘价1.0681,昨收价1.0684,最低价1.0651,最高价1.0736,现报1.0680。更广泛的上扬继续停滞不前,澳美下降到1.0629美元。晚些时候收回部分损失至1.0687美元。
The broader move higher continued to falter as the pair dropped to US$1.0629. It did manage to recoup some losses late in the day to finish near US$1.0687.